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John
Veteran Joined: 15 August 2004 Status: Offline Points: 4995 |
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Their penalties only draw tonight effectively puts paid to both of them. Clermont messing up at Saints ( and ditto La Rochelle at Ulster ) has brought both of them back to the same points area as us. So far no one has broken 20 points and although Leinster might expect to at home against Glasgow (and to a lesser extent Munster away in Paris), who knows? Rennie may have got to grips with this competition by now because something has been drastically wrong with Glasgow's Euro preparations so far. Leinster and Clermont should still be the top seeds but everything after that is up for grabs. We need: Munster to pick up no more than one bonus point tomorow (leaves us ahead of them) Then a bonus point win next weekend means only Ulster, Clermont and Leinster can finish equal or above us. And so a home quarter..... Easy isn't it? Just avoid Bastereau and run round Nonu and score four tries to win. Munster's result tomorrow really is important- a loss leaves rhe prospect of a home quarter in our hands |
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CTMassive
Senior Member Joined: 10 June 2011 Status: Offline Points: 874 |
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Yup, that Biggar kick at the end, whilst it kept Ospreys alive (but made a home QF unlikely) it sunk Sarries - and they knew it, and that was with 8 Lions! Sanjay didn't touch the ball until 61', he nay have had one right at the end too. What a waste
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Speedy
Veteran Joined: 04 September 2004 Location: Gelendzhik Status: Offline Points: 14400 |
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What was peoples thoughts on the bottling of the red card for sarries? Steff should appeal.
Its was exactly the same as steffs challenge.
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scarletnut
Veteran Joined: 28 April 2009 Status: Offline Points: 14170 |
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I still wake up late at night and think of what might have been when tim stimpson hit that jammy penalty1
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welshbenny
Senior Member Joined: 29 March 2005 Status: Offline Points: 680 |
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Let’s put Munster to one side for a moment. I think they’ll win in Racing today.
If we just take our situation vs Ulster’s. Putting bonus points to one side for a moment, I think the most realistic outcome next week is a win for us and them beating Wasps (given Wasps are now out of the competition more or less). That would put us both on 21 points. Who would get the final home QF in that situation? |
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aber-fan
Veteran Joined: 25 October 2004 Location: Wales Status: Offline Points: 18857 |
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See SospanMawr's list of criteria earlier in the thread. The first one to take into account is points difference - we are currently +36 and Ulster are +33, so not a lot in it.
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“You cannot reason a man out of what he never reasoned himself into.” (Jonathan Swift)
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welshbenny
Senior Member Joined: 29 March 2005 Status: Offline Points: 680 |
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Cheers missed that. That’s pretty close. Come on Racing :) |
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Tim Opolis
Veteran Joined: 21 April 2008 Location: Llanelli Status: Offline Points: 17990 |
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I'd fancy Wasps to beat Ulster.
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Tymor nesa Duw, plis tymor nesa.
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LLANDRE
Veteran Joined: 31 July 2007 Location: United Kingdom Status: Offline Points: 17329 |
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I tend to agree. Haskell was sent off yesterday?
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West is Best (Fin gwybod)
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scarletsmad_87
Senior Member Joined: 12 May 2015 Location: Pembrokeshire Status: Offline Points: 389 |
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10 mins to kick off at the Stade Mayol. Come on Treviso!
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John
Veteran Joined: 15 August 2004 Status: Offline Points: 4995 |
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Yes. Dr Bob was completely flattened by Haskell jumping into a challenge and catching that substantial jaw with his shoulder. I'm surprised Haskell didn't break his shoulder on that jawbone. |
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CTMassive
Senior Member Joined: 10 June 2011 Status: Offline Points: 874 |
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Make no bones it's between us, Munster and Ulster. If Racing beat Munster today (and you'd expect them to be favourites at home, knockout rugby) then that's huge for us, and them - they could lead Pool 4. It would massively increase our chances of qualifying, quite probably with a home QF if we win. Even if things don't go our way there, the Wasps v Ulster game is huge because Ulster have 17 points like us.
I don't want to contemplate losing because there are too many permutations but I estimate runners up will have 20ptsx1, 19ptsx2 and 18ptsx3, so given only one of the 18 pointers go through we wouldn't want it left to chance. Again though we need one point for 18 so whatever happens the all out 4 try game plan will continue.
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sgsmorgan
Veteran LAVERYS ON THE RIGHT Joined: 25 August 2004 Location: United Kingdom Status: Offline Points: 3002 |
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Agree... couldn't believe the double standards. How the heck he only got a yellow I thought was appalling. He turned his back on him so was so irresponsible it was untrue. |
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ap sior
Veteran Joined: 08 May 2005 Location: Wales Status: Online Points: 11409 |
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Agree... couldn't believe the double standards. How the heck he only got a yellow I thought was appalling. He turned his back on him so was so irresponsible it was untrue. [/QUOTE I made the point elsewhere that Adam Byrne's challenge on Aled Thomas was the extremely reckless, he just ran in to Aled making NO attempt to get off the ground to challenge. Byrne was given 2 weeks reduced to 1 for a guilty plea and all that. I can sort of understand the discrepancy between Byrne and Steff as there has been a directive from IRB this year. However there should not be a discrepancy within a season.
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CTMassive
Senior Member Joined: 10 June 2011 Status: Offline Points: 874 |
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Not inconceivable that there won't be an English team in the last 8 - only Exeter have a chance of getting a runners up spot, and that is touch and go because the runners up look like they are coming from Ulster/La Rochelle, Munster/Racing and Scarlets/Toulon. The Racing game now is huge, I'm looking forward to seeing this new indoor stadium, looks fantastic. Come to think of it, we should have built a roof on Parc y Scarlets!
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ap sior
Veteran Joined: 08 May 2005 Location: Wales Status: Online Points: 11409 |
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[QUOTE=CTMassive]Not inconceivable that there won't be an English team in the last 8 - only Exeter have a chance of getting a runners up spot, and that is touch and go because the runners up look like they are coming from Ulster/La Rochelle, Munster/Racing and Scarlets/Toulon. The Racing game now is huge, I'm looking forward to seeing this new indoor stadium, looks fantastic. Come to think of it, we should have built a roof on Parc y Scarlets![/QUOTE
Is Ladram busy ?
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