Some Statistical Analysis on Attendance |
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Matthew Cardey
Senior Member Joined: 27 February 2016 Status: Offline Points: 839 |
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Think, with all the success Leinster had last year and the rivalry we are starting to create with them, we should be very disappointed with that crowd. Saturday is a massive game for us, biggest of the season so far, against world class players, and we are hoping to get 9k? We need to sell tickets in the east or west stand for a fiver, kids go for free? just get people through the gates. It creates a better atmosphere and makes people want to come back. Are we handing out flags for the game saturday? We need to run more promotions, maybe get an european season ticket for people wanting to come to the home champions cup games. Could there be a choir singing half time? could there be a band pitch side?
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Wasp
Veteran Joined: 29 April 2008 Location: Sunny Pembs Status: Offline Points: 17557 |
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Great stuff. Diolch Barrie.
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We're still still here, but I wish we were in an Anglo-Welsh
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ynysddurfc
Senior Member Joined: 21 February 2007 Status: Offline Points: 389 |
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Leinster game was days after the school year began. There was no half time tag and probably no school/junior club promotions, all resulting in significantly less in the west stand. Ospreys attendance was poor by comparison, and no doubt kick off time contributed to this. However, east stand which traditionally was for away support was empty, indicating a fall in visiting support
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Winston
Senior Member Joined: 09 September 2018 Location: Llanharan Status: Offline Points: 531 |
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I’m all for the promotion of selling seats cheap and kids free. Atmosphere as you say. Gloucester always did something similar. I know that some ST holders didn’t like it but I love the idea. Just want the stadium full of crazy Scarlets supporters.
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joni_bach
Senior Member Joined: 27 August 2015 Location: Llanelli Status: Offline Points: 513 |
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Yeah, basically when you run this type of model it produces one constant term and the rest are variables. So if we just use that constant and 3 variables above you get the equation: Attendance = 5126 + (add 1151 if it's a European game) + (add 147 for every Wales player) + (add 22 fans for every point win percentage (currently 83.33%)) + error term. The error basically means I probably haven't thought of every factor. You could add weather, other sporting events which take fans away, even average wages in the local area etc. The 10 Wales players may be a bit hopeful so take 147 off the attendance for every one I'm out by.
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dyniol53
Veteran Joined: 08 April 2018 Location: Llundain Status: Offline Points: 1949 |
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Good spot.
I'll buy you 9580 pints of Brains if you get that spot on
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Micro Duck
Moderator Group Joined: 10 October 2004 Location: Wales Status: Offline Points: 10698 |
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I'm not sure why we keep on expecting the club to pay to generate an atmosphere.
Why can't the fans bring flags to the game? |
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Winston
Senior Member Joined: 09 September 2018 Location: Llanharan Status: Offline Points: 531 |
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It’s abouf economics isn’t it. You have a half empty stadium or you sell seats cheaply. The club wouldn’t lose
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aber-fan
Veteran Joined: 25 October 2004 Location: Wales Status: Offline Points: 18857 |
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We got given free flags at a game last year... I still have mine, though at my age waving a flag looks a bit pathetic, TBH... I prefer to lose my voice, shouting!
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“You cannot reason a man out of what he never reasoned himself into.” (Jonathan Swift)
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supertaf
Veteran Joined: 17 August 2004 Location: Down the Parc Status: Offline Points: 9079 |
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Totally agree about us being happy with 9k. We were euro semi finalists last year and they were finalists, why on each would people not be crawling over each other for a ticket to such a massive game? I really don't understand why we would not get at least 11k.
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Scarlets - Suppliers of fine rugby since 1872
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Fscarlet
Moderator Group Joined: 26 January 2015 Status: Offline Points: 8871 |
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Local rugby leagues kick off at 14:30 so allowing for no delays I usually finish (as in showered & changed) at 16:30 which gives me an hour to get from whatever club I am playing at, usually in Pembrokeshire (though this week Tre-bloody-garon of all places), to get to PYS which isn't do able. I know for a fact that this applies for another 3 players on my team so there is 7/8 from my club alone that would love to attend but can't. Apply a similar logic around the area & that's a good number. Secondly we had our biggest league home fixture last week. I always strive to attend this but again timings didn't allow due to playing commitments. A lot of families would have been there last week & would have spent circa £100 all in when you include tickets, food/drink/parking etc...
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aber-fan
Veteran Joined: 25 October 2004 Location: Wales Status: Offline Points: 18857 |
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The weather forecast is pretty awful for Friday and Saturday, which could reduce attendance - of course, they got that wrong last week, so who knows?
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“You cannot reason a man out of what he never reasoned himself into.” (Jonathan Swift)
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supertaf
Veteran Joined: 17 August 2004 Location: Down the Parc Status: Offline Points: 9079 |
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Not sure why people take my comments as personal attack but I'm sure we are not unique in having players as supporters. That would account for a few hundred maybe? A thousand? My point is, where are the non-playing fans? If you think we are only worthy of a 9k crowd for this game then fair enough, personally, my view, I'm not. I should mention that we have the exact same issue in the family as our lad plays in 1 west and he's gutted he cant be there as they are miles away on Saturday.
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Scarlets - Suppliers of fine rugby since 1872
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Fscarlet
Moderator Group Joined: 26 January 2015 Status: Offline Points: 8871 |
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I didn't take it that way & I apologise if I have given the impression that that was the case. I was merely trying to show possible reasons as to why we may not have a great level of attendance. I don't know where the non-playing fans are. Personally I think that this is a game which is worthy of at least 11k as they are one of the biggest sides in France but then again I guess you could ask the question how much French rugby does the average 'walk up' supporter see? I'm gutted not to be coming up, though I have balanced that with going to Leicester next week!
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Wasp
Veteran Joined: 29 April 2008 Location: Sunny Pembs Status: Offline Points: 17557 |
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I think we might just crack 10k, just from a quick look at the online seating plan
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We're still still here, but I wish we were in an Anglo-Welsh
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dyniol53
Veteran Joined: 08 April 2018 Location: Llundain Status: Offline Points: 1949 |
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Looking back at these: Is there a difference between Saturday Lunchtimes, 3pm or 5:30pm or 7:30pm? Did you say somewhere else that Friday decreases by about 500? Or was I dreaming?
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