Can we still qualify? |
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GPR - Rochester
Veteran Joined: 01 December 2014 Location: Rhydcymerau Status: Offline Points: 18783 |
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Posted: 12 January 2020 at 9:25am |
Well can we still get that prized one of 3 best runners up? Group 4 - Bristol's is out of it. Group 3 Bordeaux will win it but Edinburgh look well placed to be the best placed runner up. Thats 2 spots left. Group 1 Dragons are going to qualify - they will get 5 points next weekend against STM. The interesting point is who of Worcester v Castres wins. For our interests we need a win by Worcester by 8 points or more without a bonus point giving them 2nd place with 19. We need a bonus point win at Irish to get to 19. Final piece in the jigsaw is for Tigers to beat Blues today denying them any bonus points.
If all that pans out we get through in either 7th (away to Toulon) or 8th ( away to Bristol). We are still alive - just!!!
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EJPT
Veteran Joined: 14 February 2012 Location: Berkshire Status: Offline Points: 3319 |
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I will not be counting on it. I hope we go to London Irish and win convincingly, they will likely be playing a weakened side with their focus solely on the league. We need the momentum and to get some use out of our internationals in the lead up to the 6 nations.
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coldith
Veteran Joined: 15 September 2006 Location: Wales Status: Offline Points: 1313 |
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If we do qualify, its likely to be another game against Toulon in Toulon.
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Wil Chips
Rambler Joined: 23 August 2009 Location: Pembs Status: Offline Points: 50980 |
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Very unlikely to qualify, even with a 5 point win next week there will be 2 other groups that will have runners up with more points than us. Teams playing Agen and Enisei ( Edinburgh and Dragons..both at home) will get an easy 5 points and get to 20 pts ( we can only get to 19) and be 2 of the 3 runners up. ( Agen are an embarrassment...scored 57 pts in 5 games).
Our only hope is Pool 5, and within that Leicester beat both Blues today and Pau next week....even then The Blues could still sneak past us if we don’t get the full 5 pts versus LI, as they have Calvisano home, and will likely put their points diff ahead of ours ( both would be on 18)...next criteria is points difference. |
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ewbank2
Senior Member Joined: 24 January 2008 Location: N4, y Parc Status: Online Points: 580 |
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Pau can still win next week as long as they don't get a bp and overtake our points difference (we are 9pts better at the moment). If Cardiff get a lbp today then we will have to better their result next week. Otherwise Leicester to lose both of their remaining matches which I can’t see happening. We benefit from playing last in round 6 so will know what’s needed if we’re not knocked out by then.
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Scarlets am Byth
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Wil Chips
Rambler Joined: 23 August 2009 Location: Pembs Status: Offline Points: 50980 |
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Pau can win the group for sure.
Bottom line is anything but a Leicester win today and our chances go from unlikely to skinny slim. |
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157cb
Veteran Joined: 29 January 2007 Location: Wales Status: Offline Points: 17900 |
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Very,very unlikely to qualify now but if we did it could be Bristol . With two groups containing Calvisano and the Russians a guaranteed 10 points to teams in that group,we get Toulon
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Wasp
Veteran Joined: 29 April 2008 Location: Sunny Pembs Status: Offline Points: 17544 |
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Yes, but unlikely.
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We're still still here, but I wish we were in an Anglo-Welsh
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ap sior
Veteran Joined: 08 May 2005 Location: Wales Status: Online Points: 11409 |
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Blues not doing us any favours at the moment, leading 14-7.
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PritchyTheScarlet
Veteran Young Munster 2004 - Neyland RFC Tour Joined: 29 November 2012 Location: Neyland 🖤 Status: Offline Points: 3874 |
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Cardiff Blues leading Leicester 14-10 at the break. Blues the better side, Leicester are awful. Come on, Leicester.
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“Gareth Edwards just ran 30 yards and got a Knighthood, I sidestepped five players and got arthritis in both knees.” - Benny
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Matt1715
Groupie Joined: 24 January 2005 Location: Llanelli Status: Offline Points: 228 |
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If Castre beat Worcester next week we will only need to beat Irish to finish as the 8th place team if other results go as expected which could mean Bristol away as they are the top seeds so far
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DropOut22
Senior Member Joined: 17 November 2011 Status: Offline Points: 776 |
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If castres win they and dragons will go through. Our best bet is worcester to beat them 4-1 on match points. That would put castres 2nd in pool 1 on 19 points. A BP win by more than 7 points will put us on 19 with better points difference
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Matt1715
Groupie Joined: 24 January 2005 Location: Llanelli Status: Offline Points: 228 |
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Castre are top on 18. If they beat Worcester who are on 15 they will finish top and we will only need to win to finish above Worcester to take the 3rd runners up spot even if they get 4 tries and a losing bonus point.
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Matt1715
Groupie Joined: 24 January 2005 Location: Llanelli Status: Offline Points: 228 |
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Sorry I see what you mean. The Dragons are in that group too!!
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ap sior
Veteran Joined: 08 May 2005 Location: Wales Status: Online Points: 11409 |
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Tigers lead 17-14, that's more like it.
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157cb
Veteran Joined: 29 January 2007 Location: Wales Status: Offline Points: 17900 |
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24-17 common the Tigers
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